- Consuelo Thiers
- Politics and International Relations School of Social and Political Science University of Edinburgh
- Edinburgh UK EH8 9LD
- Research Interests
- Political psychology, Foreign Policy Analysis, Latin American Foreign Policies, At-a-distance personality assessment of political leaders
Understanding the Role of Political Leaders in Shaping the Resilience and Variability of the Chilean-Bolivian and Chilean-Peruvian Rivalries: A Political Psychological Approach
My research seeks to set out an understanding of the life-cycle of the Chilean-Peruvian and Chilean-Bolivian rivalries, focusing on decision-makers' beliefs and emotions regarding the conflict. The main objective is to shed light on the reasons for these rivalries endurance and variation from 1990 to 2019.
To answer the research questions, this research uses a political psychological approach drawing from qualitative and quantitative methods to analyse political leaders’ rhetoric. This thesis employs a case study process-tracing method to examine socio-psychological collective beliefs and emotions present in foreign policy elites to shed light on the enduring feature of these rivalries. In order to understand the variation that these rivalries have undergone over time, this research uses a content analysis technique within the Operational Code Analysis framework to assess and compare leaders’ beliefs.
The data employed in this research is retrieved from interviews conducted with foreign policy elites in Bolivia, Chile and Peru, as well as interviews found in media outlets, speeches, official websites and documents.
Thus far, this research found that that leaders from the three countries, involved in decision-making processes, have played a significant role in both promoting the maintenance of the conflict as well as in instigating periods of cooperation and escalation of tensions. Foreign policy elites in each state present shared beliefs and emotions regarding the rivalry, which have helped perpetuate the overall negative relationship between these states.
On the other hand, the results of this dissertation also show that individual decision-makers’ beliefs concerning the conflict have shaped the life-cycle of these rivalries by either facilitating or putting a strain on the relationship. This thesis also finds that in order to have a more nuanced understanding of the life-cycle of interstate rivalries, it is necessary to consider the dyadic feature of these sort of conflicts. Consequently, to analyse rivalries comprehensively, not only we ought to identify decision-makers’ cognitive and emotional dispositions towards the rival country but we also ought to examine how these psychological variables interact with the ones present in the rival group.
M.A in International Studies, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Dissertation: “Latin American Political Leaders: A study of personality at-a-distance”
B.A in Psychology, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
- Senior tutor on Introduction to Politics and International Relations, University of Edinburgh, Scotland (2019)
- Tutor on Global Security, University of Edinburgh, Scotland (2019-2020)
- Tutor on Introduction to Politics and International Relations, University of Edinburgh, Scotland (2017-2019)
- Lecturer in Psychological Assessment, Universidad SEK, Department of Psychology. Santiago, Chile (2014 – 2016)
- Lecturer in Psychological Assessment, Universidad UNIACC, Department of Psychology. Santiago, Chile (2012 – 2016)
- Lecturer in Personal Development, Universidad Autónoma de Chile, Department of Early Childhood Education. Santiago, Chile (2013 – 2015)
- Lecturer in Learning Psychology, Universidad Chileno-Británica de Cultura, Department of Education. Santiago, Chile (2013)
- Politics and International Relations Career Development PhD Scholarship (2016-2018). University of Edinburgh.
- Center for Contemporary Latin American Studies (University of Edinburgh) Santander Kick-start research funding. With Dr Carlos Soler (2018). Project: “Political past. Temporal and spatial dimensions of the grammar used in Latin American political discourse”
- Student initiative grant for the conference "Foreign Policy Analysis and Role Research". With Saskia Smellie and Dr Victor Gigleux (2017)
- Travel research grant, Universidad de Chile (2012)
- The Sue Grant Service Award: contribution to the community through extracurricular work. With Saskia Smellie and Dr Victor Gigleux (2018)
- Thiers, C. One Step Forward, Two Steps Back: The Steering Effects of Operational Code Beliefs in the Chilean-Bolivian Enduring Rivalry. Book chapter in Mark Schafer and Stephen G. Walker (eds.) Operational Code Analysis and Foreign Policy Roles: Crossing Simon’s Bridge. Routledge. [forthcoming]
- Klaus Brummer, Michael D Young, Özgur Özdamar, Sercan Canbolat, Consuelo Thiers, Christian Rabini, Katharina Dimmroth, Mischa Hansel, Ameneh Mehvar, Forum: Coding in Tongues: Developing Non-English Coding Schemes for Leadership Profiling. International Studies Review. https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viaa001
- Dubé, Sebastien & Thiers, Consuelo (2017). Social Group Dynamics and Patterns of Latin America Integration Processes. Revista de Estudios Sociales, (60). 25-35. https://dx.doi.org/10.7440/res60.2017.02
- Thiers, C. (2017, July 12) [Review of the book Latin America’s Leaders by R. Diamint & L. Tedesco]. Political studies review, 15 (4), 675-676. https://doi-org.ezproxy.is.ed.ac.uk/10.1177/1478929917712906
Participation in Conferences
§ Thiers, C. (2019). Long lasting conflicts in Latin America, the cases of Chile-Peru and Chile-Bolivia (ISA) Annual Conference, Toronto.
§ Thiers, C. (2019). Profiling leaders in Spanish: Operational Code Analysis. International Studies Association (ISA) Annual Conference, Toronto.
§ Thiers, C. (2018). Profiler Plus: Spanish translation of the Leadership Trait Analysis Coding Scheme. International Studies Association (ISA) Annual Conference, San Francisco.
§ Dubé, S. and Thiers, C. (2017). Social Group Dynamics and Patterns of Latin American Integration Processes. International Society of Political Psychology Annual Scientific Meeting (ISPP), Edinburgh.
§ Thiers, C. (2017). Latin American Political Leaders: A study of personality at-a-distance. International Studies Association (ISA) Annual Conference, Baltimore.
Media and opinion pieces
Thiers, Consuelo (Feb. 2020). La mentira como estrategia política. El Mostrador Link
Thiers, Consuelo (April 2020). Liderazgos políticos en tiempos de Coronavirus. El Mostrador Link
This is my blog
Research Grant Administrator, Millenium Nucleus Center of Stochastic Models, 2014-2016.
Spanish - native speaker
English - fluent
Foreign Policy Analysis research group. University of Edinburgh
International Studies Association- ISA
Latin American Studies Association- LASA
International Society of Political Psychology- ISPP
Society for Latin American Studies-SLAS