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School of Social and Political Science: Staff profiles


Alan Marshall

Alan Marshall
Dr Alan Marshall
Senior Lecturer in Quantitative Methods
2.12C (enter through 2.12A) Chrystal Macmillan Building George Square Edinburgh UK
+44 (0)131 6511462
Research Interests
Policy, Health policy, Social Determinants of Health, disability, retirement, Population ageing, Demography

Guidance and Feedback Hours

  • Monday 12-2pm

I joined Edinburgh in 2017 as Senior Lecturer in Quantitative Methods and director of the Q-Step Centre. I have previously held lecturing positions in Social Statistics at the University of Manchester (where I retain on honorary research position) and the University of St Andrews.


I am a Social Statistician by training with both substantive and methodological research interests. My substantive research uses longitudinal data from social surveys in the UK and overseas to better understand the social and biological determinants of inequalities observed in health and wellbeing in later life. I have made methodological  research contributions around the development of local estimates and projections of populations and of populations in poor health in collaboration with the UK's National statistical agencies and local authorities.

Recent research publications

Marshall, A., Christison, S., Simpson, L. (2017) Error in official age-specific population estimates over place and time. Statistical Journal of the International Association for Official Statistics

Eendebak., .T, Swiecicka, A., Gromski, PS., Pye, SR., O'Neill, TW., Marshall, A., Keevil, BG., Tampubolon, G., Goodacre, R., Wu, FCW., Rutter, MK. (2017), Ethnic differences in male reproductive hormones and relationships with adiposity and insulin resistance in older men. Clinical Endocrinology. DOI: 10.1111/cen.13305

Rogers, NT., Marshall, A., Roberts, CH., Demakakos, P., Steptoe, A., Scholes, S. (2017), Physical activity and trajectories of frailty among older adults: evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. PLoS One, vol 12, no. 2, e0170878. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0170878

Wade, KF., Marshall, A., Vanhoutte, B., Wu, FCW., O'Neill, TW., Lee, DM. (2016), Does pain predict frailty in older men and women?: findings from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) Journals of Gerontology Series A - Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences, vol Advance Access. DOI: 10.1093/gerona/glw226

Marshall, A., Nazroo, J., Vanhoutte, B., Pendleton, N. (2015a) A comparison of hypertension health care outcomes in the USA and England. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. doi:10.1136/jech-2014-205336

Marshall, A., Nazroo, J., (2015) Inequalities in trajectories of self-reported illness at retirement. Journal of Population Ageing. Doi: 10.1007/s12062-015-9130-2

Marshall, A. Nazroo, J., Tampubolon, G., Vanhoutte, B. (2015b) Socio-economic and gender inequalities in frailty: findings from a growth modelling approach. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. 69:p 316-321 doi:10.1136/jech-2014-


Mekli, K., Nazroo, J., Marshall, A., Kumari, M., & Pendleton, N. (2015). Proinflammatory genotype is associated with the frailty phenotype in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. Aging Clinical and Experimental Research (Online). DOI:10.1007/s40520-015-0419-z.

Mekli, K., Marshall, A., Nazroo, J., Vanhoutte, B., Pendleton, N., & Kumari, M. (2015). Genetic variant of Interleukin-18 gene is associated with the Frailty Index in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. Age and Ageing, 44(6), 938-942. DOI:10.1093/ageing/afv122

Sperrin, M., Marshall, A., Higgins, V., Renehan, A., Buchan, I. (2015) Body mass index relates weight to height differently in women and older adults: Serial cross-sectional surveys in England (1992-2011). Journal of Public Health. 38(3). DOI: 10.1093/pubmed/fdv067

Marshall, A., Jivraj, S., Nazroo, J., Tampubolon, G. (2014) Does the level of wealth inequality within an area influence the prevalence of depression among older people? Health & Place 27: 194-204. DOI:

Sperrin, M., Marshall, A., Higgins, V., Buchan, I. & Renehan, A. (2014). Slowing down of adult body mass index trend increases in England: a latent class analysis of cross-sectional surveys (1992 to 2010). International Journal of Obesity. DOI: 10.1038/ijo.2013.161


I have a strong interest in teaching quantitative research skills within the social sciences. I have contributed to the undergraduate teaching literature in the social sciences in the UK. I am a co-author of Population and Society and I have a chapter on Quantitative Modelling in Human Geography in Key Methods in Geography.

Teaching publications and resources

Marshall A. (2016) Quantitative modelling in Human Geography. In Key Methods in Geography. Editors: Clifford, N., Cope, M., French, S., Gillespie, T.  Sage. London.

Holdsworth, C., Finney, N., Marshall, A., Norman, P. (2013) Population and Societies. Sage.

Marshall, A. (editor), Browne, B., Plewis, I., Tranmer, M. (2012) Introducing multilevel models and applying them to the Health Survey for England using MLwIN. Available at

Marshall A. (2010) Small area estimation using ESDS Government Surveys: an introductory guide. Available at

Webinar on the use of the Census Longitudinal Studies for research on health inequalities (2017) Available at:

Webinar: An introduction to data on ageing (2014) Available at:

Topics interested in supervising

Social determinants of health (particularly in later life) Retirement and health Population ageing Small area demographic estimation/forecasting

If you are interested in being supervised by Alan Marshall, please see the links below for more information:

PhD in Social Policy; PhD in Sociology; MSc (R) Public Health Policy; MSc (R) Social Policy; MSc (R) Sociology